Research · Open Threads
Open research threads.
These are not finished papers. They are live questions, with sketches, notes, and partial answers. Some will become systems; others will become publications; each one is part of understanding how humans make better decisions.
- R-01Directed Herding in Financial MarketsActiveBehavioral FinanceInstitutional HoldingsMarket MicrostructureResearch InfrastructureA reproducible empirical research program and live research instrument that integrates quarterly SEC Form 13F institutional holdings, official information events, and a Wikimedia Pageviews retail-attention proxy to surface transparent, non-causal candidate herding patterns for review and empirical testing.→
- R-02Epistemic Dialectic EngineActiveArtificial IntelligenceDecision ScienceEducational PsychologyCognitive ScienceLearning AssessmentMetacognitionHuman-AI CollaborationThe Epistemic Dialectic Engine research investigates how artificial intelligence can support disciplined human reasoning without collapsing uncertainty into an immediate answer. This research has now produced Aporia, a public conversational prototype that organizes inquiry through four observation lenses—Dialectic, Socratic, Reflection, and Transfer—while making assumptions, tensions, uncertainty, and the next cognitive move more visible. The current system is a research instrument under development; its cognitive indicators are exploratory rather than validated educational or psychological assessments.→
- R-03Can Operational Judgement Be Engineered?In ProgressOperations ResearchHuman FactorsThe best planners rarely follow a dashboard blindly. They combine mathematics, intuition, experience, and context. This research explores whether those decision patterns can be modeled, supported, and eventually reproduced without removing the human from the process.→
- R-04Measuring the UnmeasurableReadingLLMsDecision IntelligenceOrganizations generate enormous amounts of qualitative knowledge: meeting notes, emails, interviews, audit findings, and conversations, which rarely influence analytical models. This research investigates whether large language models can transform qualitative evidence into measurable variables while preserving nuance and context.→
- R-05When Does AI Actually Improve Decisions?SketchAIDecision ScienceMost organizations measure whether AI improves productivity. Few measure whether people actually make better decisions because of it. This thread studies how decision-support systems should be evaluated when the output is not speed, but judgment quality.→